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64/100 Bearish 13.11.2026 · 06:00 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 9 TR

Goldman Sachs Assesses CBRT Inflation Report

Goldman Sachs described the policy guidance in the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey's (CBRT) latest Inflation Report as dovish. In its assessment following the CBRT's upward revision of its 2026 and 2027 year-end inflation forecasts, the bank emphasized that the communication on monetary policy was more accommodative in tone than market expectations. According to Goldman Sachs, the trough in domestic demand is behind us and core inflation has entered an upward trend. This development signals that price pressures may strengthen again. The bank also drew attention to the effects of the fund crisis on economic activity. It assessed that this risk could create downward pressure on the growth outlook. The CBRT's upward revision of its inflation forecasts stands out as a closely watched development for the course of monetary policy. Goldman Sachs' identification of dovish guidance may shape expectations regarding the interest rate path in the period ahead. Not investment advice.

📊 GS — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

The news headline does not contain a concrete catalyst directly targeting GS stock; a brokerage firm's assessment of the CBRT inflation report is macro in nature and may have limited price impact. Technically, the price is slightly below the SMA20 (919.2) and above the SMA50 (905.0), compressed in between; RSI at 48.9 is in neutral territory. MACD is below the signal line (4.32 vs 6.32) and momentum is weak, indicating limited upside momentum in the short term. The 24-hour change is +0.85%, moderately positive but without a clear breakout. In conclusion, the news alone is insufficient to determine direction; a neutral bias and low-to-medium confidence are appropriate.

RSI 14
48.9
MACD
4.32
24h Δ
0.85%

📊 EURTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

Goldman Sachs' evaluation of the CBRT Inflation Report is expected to have a limited effect on EURTRY, as it does not contain a direct policy decision or surprise signal. Technical indicators present an indecisive picture: RSI at 47.6 is in neutral territory, MACD is slightly above the signal line but still negative, and the price is trading very close to the SMA20 and SMA50. With the 24-hour change at only 0.13%, short-term momentum is weak. Unless the news flow creates a clear directional pressure on the pair, the 1-3 day outlook may remain flat. Nevertheless, an increase in volatility should not be overlooked due to the potential for assessments regarding the CBRT to influence interest rate expectations.

RSI 14
47.6
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
0.13%

📊 USDTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 35%

Goldman Sachs' assessment of the CBRT Inflation Report does not in itself contain a strong directional signal; it is unclear whether the report includes a clear message on the interest rate path. On the technical side, USD/TRY is trading sideways around 50.35, with RSI at 54.9 in neutral territory and slightly above the MACD signal line, but momentum is weak. The compression of SMA20 and SMA50 in the 50.25-50.27 band indicates no clear trend in the short term. Since the 24-hour change in the pair is only 0.05%, the news impact may remain limited. Nevertheless, volatility could increase if a surprise message emerges from the CBRT; therefore, a cautious neutral stance is appropriate.

RSI 14
54.9
MACD
0.02
24h Δ
0.05%
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