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72/100 Bearish 13.11.2026 · 12:30 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 8 TR

Fed's December Rate Decision Expectations Strengthen

The October inflation data released in the United States surpassed market expectations, markedly lifting expectations for a rate hike at the Fed’s December meeting. Following the data, market pricing in the money markets signals a continued tightening cycle. According to CME FedWatch, 88% of investors anticipate a 25‑basis‑point rate increase at the December meeting, while a more aggressive 50‑basis‑point hike also remains on the market’s agenda. This distribution underscores that inflationary pressure is a key determinant of the Fed’s policy path. Economists emphasize that inflation running above forecasts suggests that tight monetary policy could persist into next year. The shift in rate‑hike expectations may influence investors’ risk appetite and asset pricing. Markets are now focused on new data and Fed officials’ statements that will be released before the December meeting. Forward‑looking signals on inflation could reshape expectations regarding the size and pace of future rate hikes. This is not investment advice.

📊 CME — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

CME shares could be positively affected by the clarity in Fed rate expectations, as demand for interest rate futures and risk management supports CME's trading volumes. The price is trading at 315.48, above the SMA20 and SMA50, and the 24-hour 3.74% gain indicates strong momentum. However, with an RSI of 66.98, it is approaching overbought territory, increasing the risk of a short-term correction. The MACD is slightly above the signal line and in positive territory, confirming the trend remains intact. The news impact may be limited, as expectations may already be largely priced in, so cautious optimism is appropriate.

RSI 14
67.0
MACD
2.56
24h Δ
3.74%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

At its latest close of 103.22, DXY is trading above both its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA20 and SMA50), pointing to a mildly positive short-term trend. The RSI stands at 62.7; while it is approaching overbought territory, it has not yet produced a weakness signal. MACD is slightly below its signal line, indicating that momentum remains limited. Strengthening Fed rate expectations could be read as dollar-positive, but with the direction of the news uncertain, the impact may stay moderate. Over a 1-3 day horizon, a limited upward bias is expected, with additional confirmation needed for a strong breakout.

RSI 14
62.7
MACD
0.07
24h Δ
0.30%
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